Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 2.133958 2.430555 2.752923 3.129266 3.556546 4.026578 4.582908
2025-09-28 1.630120 2.024440 2.490441 3.081587 3.811532 4.683516 5.804819
2025-10-05 1.465899 1.931895 2.515142 3.298375 4.322723 5.617311 7.379063
2025-10-12 1.281469 1.773618 2.419438 3.328347 4.574622 6.224318 8.576255
2025-10-19 1.171132 1.691250 2.402335 3.444605 4.933450 6.984734 10.029247
2025-10-26 1.040146 1.560666 2.299042 3.421617 5.085270 7.461305 11.117516
2025-11-02 0.934245 1.451737 2.211021 3.404646 5.234099 7.934159 12.228304
2025-11-09 0.833889 1.338692 2.102962 3.342353 5.302203 8.284204 13.174101
2025-11-16 0.773457 1.280009 2.069705 3.388001 5.534197 8.893749 14.562018
2025-11-23 0.719505 1.225416 2.036211 3.427281 5.755006 9.497536 15.983894
2025-11-30 0.662248 1.159181 1.976821 3.416661 5.889766 9.968509 17.220431
2025-12-07 0.603759 1.084853 1.896617 3.362195 5.943197 10.304680 18.250902
2025-12-14 0.550677 1.018473 1.830010 3.335989 6.062132 10.793864 19.649332
2025-12-21 0.498480 0.948996 1.752572 3.285350 6.137435 11.222016 20.996763
2025-12-28 0.492913 0.964260 1.827221 3.516328 6.741552 12.637496 24.261033
2026-01-04 0.460512 0.925035 1.797372 3.548264 6.976493 13.398280 26.371991
2026-01-11 0.442762 0.912171 1.815333 3.672132 7.395981 14.535817 29.300860
2026-01-18 0.409288 0.864320 1.760818 3.647640 7.521349 15.119149 31.193183
2026-01-25 0.379848 0.821608 1.712174 3.629558 7.656266 15.729664 33.190393
2026-02-01 0.348408 0.771431 1.643529 3.563186 7.684707 16.126998 34.781540
2026-02-08 0.330796 0.749119 1.630326 3.611823 7.957523 17.044208 37.541304
2026-02-15 0.313961 0.726777 1.614845 3.653675 8.218640 17.957036 40.369864
2026-02-22 0.294028 0.695447 1.576962 3.642358 8.361543 18.628456 42.726876